Event odds table
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? — live odds
15 outcomes$1.3M traded$314K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027
Live Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? odds: the market's 50/50 line sits at David Sacks (47% implied), with all 15 thresholds ranked below by probability and $1.3M traded, resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's 50/50 line
David Sacks 47%
implied — the threshold the market prices closest to even, across 15 levels
1Susie Wiles
98%98¢ · $38K 24h2David Sacks
47%47¢ · $167 24h3Pete Hegseth
40%40¢ · $30K 24h4Kristi Noem
29%29¢ · $3K 24h5Howard Lutnick
21%21¢ · $13K 24h6Kash Patel
19%19¢ · $12K 24h7Marco Rubio
15%14¢ · $139K 24h8Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
14%14¢ · $5K 24h9Lee Zeldin
12%12¢ · $2 24h10Scott Bessent
9%9¢ · $44K 24h11Stephen Miller
7%7¢ · $25K 24h12Markwayne Mullin
—— · $46 24h13Tom Homan
—— · $2K 24h14Russell Vought
—— · $968 24h15Dan Scavino
—— · $2K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027??
- This market is a threshold ladder rather than a single-winner race; its 50/50 line sits at David Sacks (47% implied). All 15 thresholds are ranked in the table below.
- How much has been traded on Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027??
- $1.3M has been traded across 15 outcome markets, $314K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
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