Event odds table

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? — live odds

3 outcomes$1.6M traded$38K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026

The market's call

June 30, 2027 45%

implied probability (45¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 3

Full market details →

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??
The market currently favors "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?" at 45% implied probability (YES trading at 45¢).
How much has been traded on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??
$1.6M has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $38K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?
The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 3 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play