Which outcome is favored for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??

The market currently favors June 30, 2027 at 40% implied probability (YES trading at 40¢).

How much has been traded on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??

$2.0M has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $58 of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

Event odds table

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? — live odds

3 outcomes$2.0M traded$58 · 24hresolves by October 1, 2026

Live Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? odds: June 30, 2027 leads the field at 40% implied probability, ahead of December 31, 2026 (6%) and September 30, 2026 (1%). All 3 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $2.0M traded ($58 in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

June 30, 2027 40%

implied probability (40¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 3

Full market details →

1June 30, 2027

40%40¢ · $1 24h 2December 31, 2026

6%6¢ · $19 24h 3September 30, 2026

1%1¢ · $38 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??: The market currently favors June 30, 2027 at 40% implied probability (YES trading at 40¢).
How much has been traded on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??: $2.0M has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $58 of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

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