Event odds table

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? — live odds
3 outcomes$1.6M traded$38K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026
The market's call
June 30, 2027 45%
implied probability (45¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 3
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??
- The market currently favors "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?" at 45% implied probability (YES trading at 45¢).
- How much has been traded on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??
- $1.6M has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $38K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.