Which outcome is favored for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??

The market currently favors June 30, 2027 at 38% implied probability (YES trading at 38¢).

How much has been traded on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??

$1.3M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $19K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Event odds table

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? — live odds

2 outcomes$1.3M traded$19K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027

Live Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? odds: June 30, 2027 leads the field at 38% implied probability, ahead of December 31, 2026 (19%). All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.3M traded ($19K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

June 30, 2027 38%

implied probability (38¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1June 30, 2027

38%38¢ · $11K 24h 2December 31, 2026

19%19¢ · $7K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??: The market currently favors June 30, 2027 at 38% implied probability (YES trading at 38¢).
How much has been traded on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??: $1.3M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $19K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

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