Which outcome is favored for Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...??

The market currently favors efore 2027 at 4% implied probability (YES trading at 4¢).

How much has been traded on Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...??

$42.6M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $213K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

Event odds table

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? — live odds

2 outcomes$42.6M traded$213K · 24hresolves by October 1, 2026

Live Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? odds: efore 2027 leads the field at 4% implied probability, ahead of y September 30 (1%). All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $42.6M traded ($213K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

efore 2027 4%

implied probability (4¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1efore 2027

4%4¢ · $21K 24h 2y September 30

1%1¢ · $191K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...??: The market currently favors efore 2027 at 4% implied probability (YES trading at 4¢).
How much has been traded on Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...??: $42.6M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $213K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

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