Event odds table

Will US withdraw from NATO by...? — live odds
2 outcomes$1.3M traded$112 · 24hresolves by August 31, 2026
The market's call
y August 31 83%
implied probability (83¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Will US withdraw from NATO by...??
- The market currently favors "Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?" at 83% implied probability (YES trading at 83¢).
- How much has been traded on Will US withdraw from NATO by...??
- $1.3M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $112 of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026.