Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? — live odds

Part of Next James Bond actor?· see all 24 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?" is trading at a 77% implied probability, with YES at 77¢ and NO at 23¢. $14K has changed hands so far, $161 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

77%

implied probability

YES 77¢NO 23¢

recent price

+82¢ over the window

+82¢

24h change

$161

24h volume

$14K

total volume

Dec 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±38.3¢ swing band
57d ago
High volatility
±23.2¢ swing band
57d ago
Odds swing
21¢ → 12¢ (-8.3¢ in 15 min)
57d ago
conviction signal
57d ago
High volatility
±24.3¢ swing band
57d ago
High volatility
±6.6¢ swing band
57d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.