
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen — final odds
"US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen" resolved YES on September 15, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $6.6M in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
100%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$6.6M
24h volume
$6.6M
total volume
Sep 15, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Alex Michelsen in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answers
How did "US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen" resolve?
This market resolved YES on September 15, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$6.6M was traded over the market's lifetime.
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