Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 14? — final odds

Resolved NO · July 14, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

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implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

-5¢ over the window

-5¢

24h change

$99K

24h volume

$120K

total volume

Jul 14, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.001¢ normal
7d ago
High volatility
±40.4¢ swing band
7d ago
High volatility
±60.2¢ swing band
7d ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 0¢ (-99.8¢ in 15 min)
7d ago
High volatility
±48.6¢ swing band
7d ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 0¢ (-98.9¢ in 15 min)
7d ago
Volume spike
$5,000 traded — 33.1× the average
7d ago
High volatility
±25.9¢ swing band
7d ago
Odds swing
90¢ → 1¢ (-89.3¢ in 15 min)
7d ago
High volatility
±50.7¢ swing band
7d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 14?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on July 14, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.