Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 26? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on July 26?· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

22%

implied probability

YES 22¢NO 78¢

recent price

+20¢ over the window

+20¢

24h change

$6K

24h volume

$13K

total volume

Jul 26, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±16¢ swing band
9m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 57¢ (-42.6¢ in 15 min)
9m ago
High volatility
±24.4¢ swing band
25m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 64¢ (-36.1¢ in 15 min)
25m ago
High volatility
±20.9¢ swing band
41m ago
Odds swing
80¢ → 62¢ (-18.1¢ in 15 min)
41m ago
High volatility
±26.3¢ swing band
56m ago
Odds swing
55¢ → 95¢ (+40.1¢ in 15 min)
56m ago
High volatility
±26.3¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
65¢ → 90¢ (+25.2¢ in 15 min)
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.