Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 9? — final odds

Resolved YES · July 9, 2026Final price 99¢ YES — the market gave this a 99% implied probability.

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99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO 1¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$17K

24h volume

$55K

total volume

Jul 9, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±50.9¢ swing band
12d ago
Odds swing
90¢ → 100¢ (+9.9¢ in 15 min)
12d ago
High volatility
±14¢ swing band
12d ago
High volatility
±33.3¢ swing band
12d ago
Odds swing
21¢ → 99¢ (+78¢ in 15 min)
12d ago
High volatility
±13¢ swing band
12d ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 16¢ (-82.9¢ in 15 min)
12d ago
High volatility
±48.8¢ swing band
12d ago
High volatility
±17.9¢ swing band
12d ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 31¢ (-69¢ in 15 min)
12d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 9?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on July 9, 2026. Its final traded price was 99¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 99¢ — an implied probability of 99%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.