Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 15? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on August 15?· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 15?" is trading at a 100% implied probability, with YES at 100¢ and NO at 0¢. $56K has changed hands so far, $51K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 15, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$51K

24h volume

$56K

total volume

Aug 15, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±8.7¢ swing band
8m ago
Odds swing
80¢ → 90¢ (+10¢ in 15 min)
8m ago
High volatility
±9.3¢ swing band
23m ago
High volatility
±12.1¢ swing band
40m ago
High volatility
±5.7¢ swing band
1h ago
Volume spike
$1,000 traded — 10.5× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±8.8¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±9.8¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
80¢ → 90¢ (+10¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±10¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.