Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 26? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on July 26?· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

51%

implied probability

YES 51¢NO 49¢

recent price

-4¢ over the window

-4¢

24h change

$4K

24h volume

$4K

total volume

Jul 26, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±10.7¢ swing band
34m ago
Odds swing
33¢ → 95¢ (+62¢ in 15 min)
34m ago
High volatility
±27.5¢ swing band
50m ago
High volatility
±23.1¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
36¢ → 54¢ (+17.5¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±29.4¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±19.4¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
95¢ → 43¢ (-52.1¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±20.8¢ swing band
4h ago
High volatility
±23.6¢ swing band
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.