Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 27? live odds

31%

implied probability

YES 31¢NO 69¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$10K

24h volume

$12K

total volume

Jul 27, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±22.7¢ swing band

    11m ago
  • Odds swing

    63¢ → 90¢ (+27.1¢ in 15 min)

    11m ago
  • High volatility

    ±21.4¢ swing band

    27m ago
  • High volatility

    ±32.8¢ swing band

    43m ago
  • Odds swing

    0¢ → 22¢ (+21.6¢ in 15 min)

    43m ago
  • High volatility

    ±11.2¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    37¢ → 80¢ (+43¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±20.5¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    50¢ → 33¢ (-17¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±23.1¢ swing band

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 27?"?

The market currently prices YES at 31¢ and NO at 69¢, an implied probability of 31% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 27, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$12K has been traded in total, $10K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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