Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 26? live odds

54%

implied probability

YES 54¢NO 46¢

recent price

+32¢ over the window

+32¢

24h change

$180K

24h volume

$188K

total volume

Jul 26, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±23.1¢ swing band

    13m ago
  • Odds swing

    22¢ → 6¢ (-16¢ in 15 min)

    13m ago
  • High volatility

    ±18.4¢ swing band

    29m ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 22¢ (-77.9¢ in 15 min)

    29m ago
  • Volume spike

    $1,000 traded — 6× the average

    43m ago
  • High volatility

    ±30.8¢ swing band

    46m ago
  • Odds swing

    10¢ → 100¢ (+89.9¢ in 15 min)

    46m ago
  • High volatility

    ±16.4¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    10¢ → 55¢ (+45¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±16.5¢ swing band

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 26?"?

The market currently prices YES at 54¢ and NO at 46¢, an implied probability of 54% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 26, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$188K has been traded in total, $180K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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