
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 26? — live odds
54%
implied probability
recent price
+32¢ over the window
+32¢
24h change
$180K
24h volume
$188K
total volume
Jul 26, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 13m ago
High volatility
±23.1¢ swing band
- 13m ago
Odds swing
22¢ → 6¢ (-16¢ in 15 min)
- 29m ago
High volatility
±18.4¢ swing band
- 29m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 22¢ (-77.9¢ in 15 min)
- 43m ago
Volume spike
$1,000 traded — 6× the average
- 46m ago
High volatility
±30.8¢ swing band
- 46m ago
Odds swing
10¢ → 100¢ (+89.9¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±16.4¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
10¢ → 55¢ (+45¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±16.5¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 26?"?
The market currently prices YES at 54¢ and NO at 46¢, an implied probability of 54% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by July 26, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$188K has been traded in total, $180K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
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