Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 21? — final odds

This market has ended · July 21, 2026Final price 5¢ YES — the market gave this a 5% implied probability.

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implied probability

YES 5¢NO 95¢

recent price

-95¢ over the window

-95¢

24h change

$167K

24h volume

$214K

total volume

Jul 21, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±27¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
96¢ → 0¢ (-95.7¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±39.7¢ swing band
2h ago
Volume spike
$1,000 traded — 9.6× the average
2h ago
High volatility
±41.1¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
90¢ → 100¢ (+10¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±26¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
97¢ → 6¢ (-90.7¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
conviction signal
3h ago
Volume spike
$6,266 traded — 60.8× the average
3h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 21?" resolve?

This market ended on July 21, 2026 with a final traded price of 5¢ YES (5% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 5¢ — an implied probability of 5%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.