Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 26? live odds

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$46K

24h volume

$65K

total volume

Jul 26, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±6.1¢ swing band

    2m ago
  • Odds swing

    44¢ → 90¢ (+46.2¢ in 15 min)

    2m ago
  • Volume spike

    $157 traded — 4.6× the average

    9m ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.3¢ swing band

    18m ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 84¢ (-15.1¢ in 15 min)

    18m ago
  • Volume spike

    $181 traded — 5.2× the average

    32m ago
  • High volatility

    ±20.9¢ swing band

    33m ago
  • Odds swing

    22¢ → 11¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)

    33m ago
  • Volume spike

    $252 traded — 7.3× the average

    37m ago
  • High volatility

    ±11.2¢ swing band

    48m ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 26?"?

The market currently prices YES at 100¢ and NO at 1¢, an implied probability of 100% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 26, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$65K has been traded in total, $46K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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