
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 26? — live odds
100%
implied probability
recent price
0¢ over the window
0¢
24h change
$46K
24h volume
$65K
total volume
Jul 26, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 2m ago
High volatility
±6.1¢ swing band
- 2m ago
Odds swing
44¢ → 90¢ (+46.2¢ in 15 min)
- 9m ago
Volume spike
$157 traded — 4.6× the average
- 18m ago
High volatility
±4.3¢ swing band
- 18m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 84¢ (-15.1¢ in 15 min)
- 32m ago
Volume spike
$181 traded — 5.2× the average
- 33m ago
High volatility
±20.9¢ swing band
- 33m ago
Odds swing
22¢ → 11¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)
- 37m ago
Volume spike
$252 traded — 7.3× the average
- 48m ago
High volatility
±11.2¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 26?"?
The market currently prices YES at 100¢ and NO at 1¢, an implied probability of 100% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by July 26, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$65K has been traded in total, $46K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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