Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26? live odds

81%

implied probability

YES 81¢NO 19¢

recent price

+2¢ over the window

+2¢

24h change

$14K

24h volume

$18K

total volume

Jul 26, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    71¢ → 89¢ (+18¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    77¢ → 88¢ (+11¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.5¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    78¢ → 88¢ (+10¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • conviction signal

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±5.9¢ swing band

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±8.5¢ swing band

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.1¢ swing band

    5h ago
  • High volatility

    ±8.1¢ swing band

    5h ago
  • High volatility

    ±5.8¢ swing band

    7h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26?"?

The market currently prices YES at 81¢ and NO at 19¢, an implied probability of 81% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 26, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$18K has been traded in total, $14K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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