Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 26? live odds

1%

implied probability

YES NO 99¢

recent price

-55¢ over the window

-55¢

24h change

$42K

24h volume

$51K

total volume

Jul 26, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±27.4¢ swing band

    13m ago
  • Odds swing

    60¢ → 45¢ (-15¢ in 15 min)

    13m ago
  • High volatility

    ±18.9¢ swing band

    30m ago
  • Odds swing

    46¢ → 1¢ (-45.1¢ in 15 min)

    30m ago
  • High volatility

    ±24.6¢ swing band

    45m ago
  • Odds swing

    94¢ → 35¢ (-59¢ in 15 min)

    45m ago
  • High volatility

    ±19.6¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    68¢ → 79¢ (+11¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±23.3¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    33¢ → 10¢ (-23.4¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 26?"?

The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 26, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$51K has been traded in total, $42K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app

Related Crypto markets