
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 26? — live odds
79%
implied probability
recent price
+78¢ over the window
+78¢
24h change
$1K
24h volume
$7K
total volume
Jul 26, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 8m ago
High volatility
±9.8¢ swing band
- 8m ago
Odds swing
48¢ → 67¢ (+18.9¢ in 15 min)
- 24m ago
High volatility
±18.6¢ swing band
- 24m ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 50¢ (+49.1¢ in 15 min)
- 40m ago
High volatility
±26.8¢ swing band
- 40m ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 45¢ (+44.1¢ in 15 min)
- 56m ago
High volatility
±22.4¢ swing band
- 56m ago
Odds swing
10¢ → 49¢ (+39¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±26.5¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 57¢ (-42.8¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 26?"?
The market currently prices YES at 79¢ and NO at 21¢, an implied probability of 79% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by July 26, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$7K has been traded in total, $1K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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