
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 27? — live odds
78%
implied probability
recent price
+22¢ over the window
+22¢
24h change
$19K
24h volume
$38K
total volume
Jul 27, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 3m ago
High volatility
±27.4¢ swing band
- 19m ago
High volatility
±15.6¢ swing band
- 35m ago
High volatility
±30.9¢ swing band
- 35m ago
Odds swing
46¢ → 2¢ (-44¢ in 15 min)
- 50m ago
Odds swing
10¢ → 2¢ (-8¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±9.3¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 20¢ (+19.5¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
Odds swing
45¢ → 1¢ (-44.5¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
Volume spike
$1,000 traded — 60.7× the average
- 2h ago
High volatility
±22.4¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 27?"?
The market currently prices YES at 78¢ and NO at 22¢, an implied probability of 78% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by July 27, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$38K has been traded in total, $19K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
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