Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24? — final odds

Resolved YES · August 24, 2026Final price 97¢ YES — the market gave this a 97% implied probability.

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?" resolved YES on August 24, 2026 at a final price of 97¢ YES — a 97% implied probability — after $269K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

97%

implied probability

YES 97¢NO 3¢

recent price

—

24h change

$211K

24h volume

$269K

total volume

Aug 24, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.001¢ normal
2h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 13¢ (-86.8¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±5.1¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 13¢ (-86.9¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±38.9¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
77¢ → 13¢ (-64¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±29.6¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 93¢ (+90.9¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 13¢ (-85.1¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±28.4¢ swing band
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 24, 2026. Its final traded price was 97¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 97¢ — an implied probability of 97%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.