Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10? live odds

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?" is trading at a 100% implied probability, with YES at 100¢ and NO at 0¢. $244K has changed hands so far, $221K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 10, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$221K

24h volume

$244K

total volume

Sep 10, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 92¢ (-8.3¢ in 15 min)

    4m ago
  • Volume spike

    $1,600 traded — 10.1× the average

    15m ago
  • Odds swing

    83¢ → 99¢ (+16.1¢ in 15 min)

    20m ago
  • High volatility

    ±53.3¢ swing band

    36m ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.3¢ swing band

    51m ago
  • Odds swing

    83¢ → 27¢ (-56¢ in 15 min)

    51m ago
  • High volatility

    ±39.7¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    99¢ → 27¢ (-72.3¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • Volume spike

    $6,201 traded — 39.8× the average

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±44.4¢ swing band

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?"?

The market currently prices YES at 100¢ and NO at 0¢, an implied probability of 100% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by September 10, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$244K has been traded in total, $221K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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