Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16? — final odds

Resolved NO · September 16, 2026Final price 1¢ YES — the market gave this a 1% implied probability.

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16?" resolved NO on September 16, 2026 at a final price of 1¢ YES — a 1% implied probability — after $179K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

—

24h change

$133K

24h volume

$179K

total volume

Sep 16, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0024¢ normal
1h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 50¢ (-49.9¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
Odds swing
28¢ → 100¢ (+71.9¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±26.6¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 7¢ (-92.8¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
Volume spike
$500 traded — 7.1× the average
2h ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 67¢ (-30.9¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
Volume spike
$1,468 traded — 22.5× the average
2h ago
High volatility
±15.8¢ swing band
3h ago
Volume spike
$202 traded — 3.1× the average
3h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on September 16, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.