Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on August 25?· see all 15 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?" is trading at a 100% implied probability, with YES at 100¢ and NO at 0¢. $218K has changed hands so far, $185K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 25, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$185K

24h volume

$218K

total volume

Aug 25, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±12.8¢ swing band
7m ago
Odds swing
31¢ → 1¢ (-30¢ in 15 min)
7m ago
High volatility
±12.9¢ swing band
22m ago
Odds swing
97¢ → 31¢ (-65.8¢ in 15 min)
22m ago
High volatility
±24.5¢ swing band
37m ago
Volume spike
$1,044 traded — 12.9× the average
45m ago
High volatility
±21.2¢ swing band
52m ago
Odds swing
54¢ → 100¢ (+45.4¢ in 15 min)
52m ago
High volatility
±30.7¢ swing band
1h ago
Volume spike
$336 traded — 4.3× the average
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.