Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on August 29?· see all 12 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29?" is trading at a 98% implied probability, with YES at 98¢ and NO at 2¢. $57K has changed hands so far, $47K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 29, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

98%

implied probability

YES 98¢NO 2¢

recent price

+3¢ over the window

+3¢

24h change

$47K

24h volume

$57K

total volume

Aug 29, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±4.8¢ swing band
8m ago
Odds swing
90¢ → 99¢ (+9.8¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±4.1¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±6.5¢ swing band
6h ago
High volatility
±42.1¢ swing band
6h ago
conviction signal
6h ago
High volatility
±10.8¢ swing band
6h ago
High volatility
±21.2¢ swing band
10h ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 32¢ (-66.7¢ in 15 min)
10h ago
Odds swing
6¢ → 99¢ (+93.2¢ in 15 min)
12h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.