Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 24? live odds

79%

implied probability

YES 79¢NO 21¢

recent price

-21¢ over the window

-21¢

24h change

$1K

24h volume

$38K

total volume

Jul 24, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±28.7¢ swing band

    12m ago
  • High volatility

    ±25.3¢ swing band

    27m ago
  • Odds swing

    89¢ → 2¢ (-87¢ in 15 min)

    27m ago
  • High volatility

    ±9.2¢ swing band

    43m ago
  • High volatility

    ±27¢ swing band

    59m ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.2¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±30.1¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    60¢ → 1¢ (-59¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±22.7¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    48¢ → 0¢ (-47.8¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 24?"?

The market currently prices YES at 79¢ and NO at 21¢, an implied probability of 79% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 24, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$38K has been traded in total, $1K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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