Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on October 17?· see all 11 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17?" is trading at a 100% implied probability, with YES at 100¢ and NO at 0¢. $49K has changed hands so far, $24K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 17, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$24K

24h volume

$49K

total volume

Oct 17, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±13.5¢ swing band
4m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 67¢ (-32.8¢ in 15 min)
5m ago
High volatility
±9.4¢ swing band
21m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 53¢ (-46.9¢ in 15 min)
22m ago
High volatility
±6.3¢ swing band
37m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 67¢ (-32.9¢ in 15 min)
41m ago
Volume spike
$3,700 traded — 285× the average
3h ago
Volume spike
$3,476 traded — 263× the average
3h ago
Volume spike
$1,000 traded — 75.7× the average
4h ago
High volatility
±13.5¢ swing band
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.