Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on October 30?· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?" is trading at a 93% implied probability, with YES at 93¢ and NO at 7¢. $109K has changed hands so far, $88K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 30, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

93%

implied probability

YES 93¢NO 7¢

recent price

+37¢ over the window

+37¢

24h change

$88K

24h volume

$109K

total volume

Oct 30, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Volume spike
$347 traded — 9.9× the average
16m ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.032¢ vs 0.006¢ normal
27m ago
High volatility
±9.6¢ swing band
42m ago
Volume spike
$219 traded — 6.3× the average
1h ago
Volume spike
$433 traded — 14.6× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±7.2¢ swing band
1h ago
Volume spike
$100 traded — 3.4× the average
2h ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 90¢ (-9.7¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
Volume spike
$1,200 traded — 40.4× the average
2h ago
Volume spike
$1,215 traded — 40.9× the average
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.