Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 27? live odds

60%

implied probability

YES 60¢NO 40¢

recent price

+60¢ over the window

+60¢

24h change

24h volume

$4K

total volume

Jul 27, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±19.9¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    79¢ → 50¢ (-28.8¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±39.8¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    69¢ → 17¢ (-52.1¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±31.5¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    47¢ → 84¢ (+36.9¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±19.7¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    49¢ → 58¢ (+9¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.7¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    6¢ → 48¢ (+42.6¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 27?"?

The market currently prices YES at 60¢ and NO at 40¢, an implied probability of 60% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 27, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$4K has been traded in total, — of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

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