Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 6? — final odds

Resolved NO · November 6, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 6?" resolved NO on November 6, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $226K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

+78¢ over the window

+78¢

24h change

$138K

24h volume

$226K

total volume

Nov 6, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Volume spike
$100 traded — 3.2× the average
31m ago
Odds swing
59¢ → 9¢ (-50.5¢ in 15 min)
43m ago
High volatility
±12.6¢ swing band
45m ago
Volume spike
$120 traded — 3.8× the average
56m ago
Odds swing
23¢ → 6¢ (-16.5¢ in 15 min)
58m ago
Volume spike
$305 traded — 9.8× the average
1h ago
Volume spike
$243 traded — 8.6× the average
1h ago
Volume spike
$3,973 traded — 131.4× the average
2h ago
Volume spike
$253 traded — 8.4× the average
2h ago
Volume spike
$800 traded — 26.5× the average
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 6?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on November 6, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.