Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on November 2?· see all 11 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?" is trading at a 14% implied probability, with YES at 14¢ and NO at 87¢. $52K has changed hands so far, $34K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 2, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

14%

implied probability

YES 14¢NO 87¢

recent price

-19¢ over the window

-19¢

24h change

$34K

24h volume

$52K

total volume

Nov 2, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±9.8¢ swing band
0m ago
Odds swing
32¢ → 15¢ (-17¢ in 15 min)
0m ago
High volatility
±13.4¢ swing band
15m ago
Odds swing
9¢ → 29¢ (+20¢ in 15 min)
15m ago
High volatility
±21.6¢ swing band
30m ago
High volatility
±13.5¢ swing band
46m ago
Odds swing
14¢ → 6¢ (-8¢ in 15 min)
46m ago
High volatility
±4.5¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
42¢ → 24¢ (-18¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±17.3¢ swing band
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.