Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on October 17?· see all 11 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?" is trading at a 30% implied probability, with YES at 30¢ and NO at 71¢. $29K has changed hands so far, $17K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 17, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

30%

implied probability

YES 30¢NO 71¢

recent price

+5¢ over the window

+5¢

24h change

$17K

24h volume

$29K

total volume

Oct 17, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±13.6¢ swing band
6m ago
Odds swing
90¢ → 3¢ (-87¢ in 15 min)
6m ago
High volatility
±4.7¢ swing band
21m ago
High volatility
±19.3¢ swing band
36m ago
Odds swing
12¢ → 20¢ (+8¢ in 15 min)
36m ago
High volatility
±25.1¢ swing band
51m ago
Odds swing
20¢ → 29¢ (+9¢ in 15 min)
51m ago
Odds swing
70¢ → 19¢ (-51¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±5.6¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
12¢ → 24¢ (+12¢ in 15 min)
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.