Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on October 19?· see all 11 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?" is trading at a 40% implied probability, with YES at 40¢ and NO at 61¢. $5K has changed hands so far, $753 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 19, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

40%

implied probability

YES 40¢NO 61¢

recent price

+41¢ over the window

+41¢

24h change

$753

24h volume

$5K

total volume

Oct 19, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±15.9¢ swing band
14m ago
High volatility
±30.1¢ swing band
44m ago
High volatility
±18.5¢ swing band
59m ago
High volatility
±27.2¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±9.5¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
31¢ → 3¢ (-28¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±5¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±9.3¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 32¢ (+15¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±4.5¢ swing band
3h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.