Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22? — final odds

Resolved YES · October 22, 2026Final price 97¢ YES — the market gave this a 97% implied probability.

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?" resolved YES on October 22, 2026 at a final price of 97¢ YES — a 97% implied probability — after $151K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

97%

implied probability

YES 97¢NO 3¢

recent price

—

24h change

$142K

24h volume

$151K

total volume

Oct 22, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0159¢ normal
2h ago
High volatility
±49.3¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 97¢ (+94.6¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
Volume spike
$960 traded — 24.3× the average
2h ago
High volatility
±9.1¢ swing band
2h ago
Volume spike
$302 traded — 7.6× the average
2h ago
High volatility
±36.2¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±16.6¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
81¢ → 9¢ (-71.6¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
Volume spike
$291 traded — 7.4× the average
3h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on October 22, 2026. Its final traded price was 97¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 97¢ — an implied probability of 97%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.