Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?· see all 11 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?" is trading at a 34% implied probability, with YES at 34¢ and NO at 67¢. $48K has changed hands so far, $29K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 23, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

34%

implied probability

YES 34¢NO 67¢

recent price

-46¢ over the window

-46¢

24h change

$29K

24h volume

$48K

total volume

Oct 23, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±9.6¢ swing band
3m ago
Odds swing
68¢ → 4¢ (-64¢ in 15 min)
3m ago
Volume spike
$272 traded — 27.9× the average
10m ago
High volatility
±41.8¢ swing band
18m ago
Odds swing
68¢ → 29¢ (-39¢ in 15 min)
18m ago
High volatility
±4.9¢ swing band
33m ago
Odds swing
34¢ → 43¢ (+9¢ in 15 min)
33m ago
Volume spike
$209 traded — 21.4× the average
39m ago
High volatility
±28.5¢ swing band
49m ago
Volume spike
$500 traded — 51.4× the average
49m ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.