Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? — final odds

This market has ended · October 8, 2026Final price 95¢ YES — the market gave this a 95% implied probability.

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?" resolved on October 8, 2026 at a final price of 95¢ YES — a 95% implied probability — after $205K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

95%

implied probability

YES 95¢NO 5¢

recent price

—

24h change

$164K

24h volume

$205K

total volume

Oct 8, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
0¢ → 90¢ (+89.7¢ in 15 min)
4d ago
Volume spike
$511 traded — 18.9× the average
4d ago
High volatility
±34.9¢ swing band
4d ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 19¢ (+16.2¢ in 15 min)
4d ago
Volume spike
$390 traded — 14.4× the average
4d ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.059¢ vs 0.0137¢ normal
4d ago
High volatility
±26.9¢ swing band
4d ago
Odds swing
8¢ → 26¢ (+18.2¢ in 15 min)
4d ago
High volatility
±8.6¢ swing band
4d ago
conviction signal
4d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?" resolve?

This market ended on October 8, 2026 with a final traded price of 95¢ YES (95% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 95¢ — an implied probability of 95%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.