Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2? live odds

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $178K has changed hands so far, $143K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 2, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

0%

implied probability

YES NO 100¢

recent price

+98¢ over the window

+98¢

24h change

$143K

24h volume

$178K

total volume

Sep 2, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±28.4¢ swing band

    15m ago
  • Volume spike

    $5,000 traded — 41.9× the average

    23m ago
  • Volume spike

    $794 traded — 6.6× the average

    29m ago
  • Volume spike

    $1,101 traded — 9.2× the average

    36m ago
  • Volume spike

    $1,946 traded — 16.3× the average

    44m ago
  • High volatility

    ±41.9¢ swing band

    46m ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.2¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Volume spike

    $3,500 traded — 30.1× the average

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±27.8¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±27.3¢ swing band

    3h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?"?

The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by September 2, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$178K has been traded in total, $143K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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