Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25? — final odds

This market has ended · September 25, 2026Final price — YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?" resolved on September 25, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $382K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$299K

24h volume

$382K

total volume

Sep 25, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±25.6¢ swing band
18d ago
High volatility
±13.3¢ swing band
18d ago
Odds swing
67¢ → 7¢ (-59.9¢ in 15 min)
18d ago
Volume spike
$500 traded — 6.6× the average
18d ago
Volume spike
$438 traded — 5.8× the average
18d ago
Volume spike
$5,349 traded — 71.1× the average
18d ago
High volatility
±7.6¢ swing band
18d ago
High volatility
±30.4¢ swing band
18d ago
Volume spike
$1,010 traded — 13.2× the average
18d ago
High volatility
±9.2¢ swing band
18d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?" resolve?

This market ended on September 25, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.