Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 6? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on September 6?· see all 11 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 6?" is trading at a 12% implied probability, with YES at 12¢ and NO at 88¢. $28K has changed hands so far, $13K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 6, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

12%

implied probability

YES 12¢NO 88¢

recent price

+6¢ over the window

+6¢

24h change

$13K

24h volume

$28K

total volume

Sep 6, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±5.1¢ swing band
18m ago
Volume spike
$204 traded — 17.8× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±40.5¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±40.6¢ swing band
3h ago
Volume spike
$2,691 traded — 237.5× the average
3h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.888¢ vs 0.0546¢ normal
3h ago
High volatility
±50.5¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 0¢ (-99.6¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Volume spike
$5,150 traded — 454.5× the average
3h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.889¢ vs 0.0107¢ normal
3h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.