Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? live odds

88%

implied probability

YES 88¢NO 12¢

recent price

+88¢ over the window

+88¢

24h change

$7K

24h volume

$1.5M

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±9¢ swing band

    0m ago
  • Odds swing

    76¢ → 90¢ (+14¢ in 15 min)

    0m ago
  • High volatility

    ±76.6¢ swing band

    17m ago
  • Odds swing

    90¢ → 76¢ (-14¢ in 15 min)

    17m ago
  • Odds swing

    59¢ → 76¢ (+17¢ in 15 min)

    33m ago
  • High volatility

    ±8.5¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    10¢ → 88¢ (+77.7¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.9¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    76¢ → 59¢ (-17¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±8.3¢ swing band

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?"?

The market currently prices YES at 88¢ and NO at 12¢, an implied probability of 88% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$1.5M has been traded in total, $7K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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