
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? — live odds
88%
implied probability
recent price
+88¢ over the window
+88¢
24h change
$7K
24h volume
$1.5M
total volume
Jan 1, 2027
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 0m ago
High volatility
±9¢ swing band
- 0m ago
Odds swing
76¢ → 90¢ (+14¢ in 15 min)
- 17m ago
High volatility
±76.6¢ swing band
- 17m ago
Odds swing
90¢ → 76¢ (-14¢ in 15 min)
- 33m ago
Odds swing
59¢ → 76¢ (+17¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±8.5¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
10¢ → 88¢ (+77.7¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±4.9¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
76¢ → 59¢ (-17¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±8.3¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?"?
The market currently prices YES at 88¢ and NO at 12¢, an implied probability of 88% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on this market?
$1.5M has been traded in total, $7K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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