
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? — live odds
77%
implied probability
recent price
0¢ over the window
0¢
24h change
$370
24h volume
$912K
total volume
Oct 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 4m ago
High volatility
±18.4¢ swing band
- 4m ago
Odds swing
91¢ → 77¢ (-14¢ in 15 min)
- 19m ago
High volatility
±6.5¢ swing band
- 35m ago
High volatility
±17.3¢ swing band
- 35m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 91¢ (-8.6¢ in 15 min)
- 50m ago
High volatility
±20.7¢ swing band
- 50m ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 87¢ (-12.4¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±20.1¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
61¢ → 100¢ (+38.6¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±23.6¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?"?
The market currently prices YES at 77¢ and NO at 23¢, an implied probability of 77% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$912K has been traded in total, $370 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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