Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? live odds

77%

implied probability

YES 77¢NO 23¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$370

24h volume

$912K

total volume

Oct 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±18.4¢ swing band

    4m ago
  • Odds swing

    91¢ → 77¢ (-14¢ in 15 min)

    4m ago
  • High volatility

    ±6.5¢ swing band

    19m ago
  • High volatility

    ±17.3¢ swing band

    35m ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 91¢ (-8.6¢ in 15 min)

    35m ago
  • High volatility

    ±20.7¢ swing band

    50m ago
  • Odds swing

    99¢ → 87¢ (-12.4¢ in 15 min)

    50m ago
  • High volatility

    ±20.1¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    61¢ → 100¢ (+38.6¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±23.6¢ swing band

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?"?

The market currently prices YES at 77¢ and NO at 23¢, an implied probability of 77% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$912K has been traded in total, $370 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app

Related Crypto markets