Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? live odds

"Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $1.1M has changed hands so far, $851 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

1%

implied probability

YES NO 99¢

recent price

+4¢ over the window

+4¢

24h change

$851

24h volume

$1.1M

total volume

Oct 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±51.4¢ swing band

    0m ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.8¢ swing band

    31m ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.5¢ swing band

    53m ago
  • Odds swing

    96¢ → 4¢ (-92.2¢ in 15 min)

    53m ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.8¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.5¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    96¢ → 4¢ (-92.2¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±51.4¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±41.7¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    96¢ → 0¢ (-95.9¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?"?

The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$1.1M has been traded in total, $851 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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