
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? — live odds
"Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $1.1M has changed hands so far, $851 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.
1%
implied probability
recent price
+4¢ over the window
+4¢
24h change
$851
24h volume
$1.1M
total volume
Oct 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 0m ago
High volatility
±51.4¢ swing band
- 31m ago
High volatility
±28.8¢ swing band
- 53m ago
High volatility
±26.5¢ swing band
- 53m ago
Odds swing
96¢ → 4¢ (-92.2¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±28.8¢ swing band
- 2h ago
High volatility
±26.5¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
96¢ → 4¢ (-92.2¢ in 15 min)
- 3h ago
High volatility
±51.4¢ swing band
- 3h ago
High volatility
±41.7¢ swing band
- 3h ago
Odds swing
96¢ → 0¢ (-95.9¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?"?
The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$1.1M has been traded in total, $851 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
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