Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10AM ET — final odds

Resolved YES · August 20, 2026Final price 99¢ YES — the market gave this a 99% implied probability.

"Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10AM ET" resolved YES on August 20, 2026 at a final price of 99¢ YES — a 99% implied probability — after $46K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO 1¢

recent price

—

24h change

$47K

24h volume

$46K

total volume

Aug 20, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±51.1¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
78¢ → 3¢ (-75¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±9.8¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
57¢ → 69¢ (+11.5¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±6.4¢ swing band
3h ago
conviction signal
3h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10AM ET" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 20, 2026. Its final traded price was 99¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 99¢ — an implied probability of 99%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.