Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12PM ET — final odds

Resolved NO · August 30, 2026Final price 1¢ YES — the market gave this a 1% implied probability.

"Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12PM ET" resolved NO on August 30, 2026 at a final price of 1¢ YES — a 1% implied probability — after $47K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

—

24h change

$47K

24h volume

$47K

total volume

Aug 30, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±8.7¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
49¢ → 35¢ (-14¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.09¢ vs 0.01¢ normal
3h ago
High volatility
±12¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±11¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
95¢ → 41¢ (-54¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±57.7¢ swing band
4h ago
High volatility
±27.4¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 2¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±70¢ swing band
5h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12PM ET" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 30, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.