Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET — final odds

This market has ended · July 17, 2026Final price 91¢ YES — the market gave this a 91% implied probability.

📲 Open in app

91%

implied probability

YES 91¢NO 9¢

recent price

+90¢ over the window

+90¢

24h change

$54K

24h volume

$54K

total volume

Jul 17, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±81.2¢ swing band
4d ago
High volatility
±50.2¢ swing band
4d ago
conviction signal
4d ago
High volatility
±56.8¢ swing band
4d ago
High volatility
±55.2¢ swing band
4d ago
conviction signal
4d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Quick answers

How did "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET" resolve?

This market ended on July 17, 2026 with a final traded price of 91¢ YES (91% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 91¢ — an implied probability of 91%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.