Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D final odds

Resolved YES · August 16, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D" resolved YES on August 16, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $695K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO

recent price

24h change

$695K

24h volume

$695K

total volume

Aug 16, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±50.7¢ swing band

    7h ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 100¢ (+98.7¢ in 15 min)

    7h ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.4¢ swing band

    7h ago
  • Odds swing

    10¢ → 100¢ (+90¢ in 15 min)

    7h ago
  • Volume spike

    $11,000 traded — 20.1× the average

    7h ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.3¢ swing band

    8h ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 1¢ (-98.7¢ in 15 min)

    8h ago
  • High volatility

    ±42.1¢ swing band

    8h ago
  • Volume spike

    $2,537 traded — 4.6× the average

    8h ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.4¢ swing band

    8h ago
How this market resolves

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 2 match between TheMongolz and paiN in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Quick answers

How did "Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 16, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$695K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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