Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET — final odds

This market has ended · August 10, 2026Final price 50¢ YES — the market gave this a 50% implied probability.

"Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET" resolved on August 10, 2026 at a final price of 50¢ YES — a 50% implied probability — after $24K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

50%

implied probability

YES 50¢NO 50¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$24K

24h volume

$24K

total volume

Aug 10, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0633¢ normal
22h ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 15¢ (+10¢ in 15 min)
22h ago
High volatility
±6.4¢ swing band
23h ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 36¢ (+19¢ in 15 min)
23h ago
High volatility
±18¢ swing band
23h ago
High volatility
±7.5¢ swing band
1d ago
Odds swing
71¢ → 93¢ (+22¢ in 15 min)
1d ago
conviction signal
1d ago
High volatility
±9.2¢ swing band
1d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

Quick answers

How did "Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET" resolve?

This market ended on August 10, 2026 with a final traded price of 50¢ YES (50% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 50¢ — an implied probability of 50%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.