Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 31? — final odds

Resolved YES · July 31, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 31?" resolved YES on July 31, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $44K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

+44¢ over the window

+44¢

24h change

$27K

24h volume

$44K

total volume

Jul 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±22.4¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
86¢ → 99¢ (+13¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 87¢ (-13¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 92¢ (-8.2¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Odds swing
50¢ → 98¢ (+47.9¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±4.2¢ swing band
5h ago
High volatility
±4.3¢ swing band
5h ago
High volatility
±25.3¢ swing band
7h ago
High volatility
±19.9¢ swing band
7h ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 31¢ (-66.5¢ in 15 min)
7h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 31?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on July 31, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.