Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 2? — live odds

"Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 2?" is trading at a 98% implied probability, with YES at 98¢ and NO at 2¢. $9K has changed hands so far, $4K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 2, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

98%

implied probability

YES 98¢NO 2¢

recent price

-3¢ over the window

-3¢

24h change

$4K

24h volume

$9K

total volume

Nov 2, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±28.8¢ swing band

    26m ago
  • Odds swing

    95¢ → 32¢ (-63.4¢ in 15 min)

    26m ago
  • High volatility

    ±42.3¢ swing band

    41m ago
  • High volatility

    ±24.8¢ swing band

    1d ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 31¢ (-68.9¢ in 15 min)

    1d ago
  • Odds swing

    51¢ → 99¢ (+48¢ in 15 min)

    2d ago
  • Odds swing

    15¢ → 99¢ (+83.8¢ in 15 min)

    2d ago
  • High volatility

    ±14.1¢ swing band

    2d ago
  • High volatility

    ±18.6¢ swing band

    2d ago
  • High volatility

    ±30.7¢ swing band

    2d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 2?"?

The market currently prices YES at 98¢ and NO at 2¢, an implied probability of 98% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by November 2, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.

How much has been traded on this market?

$9K has been traded in total, $4K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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