Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1? — final odds

Resolved YES · November 1, 2026Final price 95¢ YES — the market gave this a 95% implied probability.

"Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1?" resolved YES on November 1, 2026 at a final price of 95¢ YES — a 95% implied probability — after $92K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

95%

implied probability

YES 95¢NO 5¢

recent price

—

24h change

$49K

24h volume

$92K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±7.5¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
33¢ → 95¢ (+62.1¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Volume spike
$100 traded — 6.5× the average
3h ago
High volatility
±33.3¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 15¢ (-83.5¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±36.4¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
85¢ → 100¢ (+14.7¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±19.6¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±51¢ swing band
4h ago
Volume spike
$111 traded — 7.3× the average
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on November 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 95¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 95¢ — an implied probability of 95%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.