Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 11? — final odds

This market has ended · October 11, 2026Final price 50¢ YES — the market gave this a 50% implied probability.

"Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 11?" resolved on October 11, 2026 at a final price of 50¢ YES — a 50% implied probability — after $42K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

50%

implied probability

YES 50¢NO 50¢

recent price

—

24h change

$19K

24h volume

$42K

total volume

Oct 11, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0038¢ normal
3d ago
High volatility
±32¢ swing band
3d ago
High volatility
±50.2¢ swing band
3d ago
Volume spike
$1,000 traded — 89.4× the average
3d ago
High volatility
±35.7¢ swing band
3d ago
Odds swing
16¢ → 97¢ (+80.6¢ in 15 min)
3d ago
High volatility
±44.5¢ swing band
3d ago
High volatility
±6.7¢ swing band
3d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 84¢ (+83.6¢ in 15 min)
3d ago
High volatility
±46.9¢ swing band
3d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 11?" resolve?

This market ended on October 11, 2026 with a final traded price of 50¢ YES (50% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 50¢ — an implied probability of 50%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.