Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 14? live odds

"Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 14?" is trading at a 96% implied probability, with YES at 96¢ and NO at 4¢. $12K has changed hands so far, $5K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 14, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

96%

implied probability

YES 96¢NO

recent price

-64¢ over the window

-64¢

24h change

$5K

24h volume

$12K

total volume

Sep 14, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±27.7¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    94¢ → 21¢ (-72.9¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.3¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    60¢ → 36¢ (-24.3¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    82¢ → 90¢ (+8.1¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    96¢ → 85¢ (-10.4¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±18.4¢ swing band

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±21.9¢ swing band

    5h ago
  • High volatility

    ±21.2¢ swing band

    5h ago
  • Odds swing

    13¢ → 59¢ (+45.9¢ in 15 min)

    5h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 14?"?

The market currently prices YES at 96¢ and NO at 4¢, an implied probability of 96% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by September 14, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$12K has been traded in total, $5K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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